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Texas Senate Race
MethodologyNext week
Turnout & SupportNext week
Talarico (D) vs Paxton (R) · 2026
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James Talarico
James Talarico
Democrat
Gen Ballot
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Polls
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Indicators
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%
Est. vote
Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton
Republican · Atty General
Gen Ballot
—
Polls
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Indicators
—
—
%
Est. vote
Model Output
Daily estimates
Recent Polls
TX Senate state polls
PollsterDateR%D%
Estimated County Lean
Model estimate applied to county-level ratios
D+30EvenR+30